On face value Corinthians look very short at 8/11 to win this game given they’ve claimed just 1 point from their last 6 away matches in the league. However it is important to note this match will be played on neutral territory at Arena Pantanal in Cuiabá so that should help the Sao Paulo giants out.
Fábio Carille took charge in the middle of last month and has won 2 of his 5 games but they were both in the Copa do Brasil. In the league they have been in freefall for a while and the defending champions will soon be dethroned with them sitting down in 9th place and 18 points behind leaders Palmeiras.
Santa Cruz are the sort of side you want to play when you’ve gone 4 league games without a goal, which Corinthians have. Santa Cruz are 11 points shy of safety and look doomed to the drop so they only really have pride to play for in these final 9 games. They come into this match having lost their last 4 in the league, conceding 3 goals in each of them and defensively they have been a bit of a mess all season. They’ve shipped 50 goals now this term, the joint worst record in the division but they do at least carry a threat going forward and their matches are normally entertaining ones.
They were beaten 3-0 at title-chasing Flamengo last time out but had scored in all of their previous 6 league games and they do have 2 players in the top 10 of the Serie A goalscoring charts in the shape of Keno and Grafite. Therefore goals look likely here and Corinthians do still have quality in their ranks even though we’ve seen little evidence of it of late so they should be able to pick up a few wins between now and the end of the season.
Given just how many high scoring games Santa Cruz have been involved in this term there looks to be value in backing Both Teams to Score at Evens in a match where neither side now has much to play for and may be able to play with a bit of freedom.
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Head To Head
Corinthians won 2-1 earlier in the season in the only recent meeting.
Stats
Both teams have scored in 6 of Santa Cruz's last 9 matches in all competitions. Corinthians have kept just 1 clean sheet in their last 6 league outings.
Team News
Danny Morais, Neris and Matías Pisano are all back from suspension to bolster Santa Cruz. Left back Allan Vieira is banned though and Derley misses out through injury.
Striker Gustavo is set to miss out through injury. Lucca or the fit-again Guilherme could replace him.
