Udinese vs Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
Date: Sunday, 8th January 2017
Kick-Off: 11:30 UK/12:30 CET
Venue: Dacia Arena (Udine).
Udinese
Udinese drew 0-0 at Sampdoria last time out, the point leaves them in 10th position with 25 points. Udinese host Inter Milan on Sunday morning to resume their domestic season.
Luigi Delneri is unbeaten in 4 games (3-1-0) with the draw last time out ending a 3 game winning run. Udinese have netted in 4/5, scoring 2 or more in just 2/5 but they won both of those games. Defensively, 3/5 clean sheets is strong with 3 in the last 4 including back to back shutouts. Udinese have conceded 2 or more in 1/5, coincidentally the only loss in the last 5.
At home it's 3/5 wins including the last 2 with 2/3 coming to nil and by 2 goals or more. Udinese have scored in 5/5 and 2 or more in 3/5. At the back, 2/5 clean sheets have come in their last 2 games conceding 2 or more in 2/5 failing to win either.
Inter Milan
Inter Milan thumped Lazio 3-0 before the Winter Break. The win leaves Inter in 7th place, 3 points behind Milan in 5th and 5 points off Napoli in 3rd, the final Champions League place.
Stefano Pioli has won the last 4 matches and 4/5 overall with 3/4 wins to nil. Inter have scored in 4/5 and 2 or more in 3/5, winning 3/3 when doing so. Defensively, 3/5 clean sheets have come in the last 3 games conceding 2 or more just 1/5, their last defeat 3-0 at Napoli.
Away from the San Siro it's 1 win in 5 with a 1-1-3 record. Inter have scored in 4/5 away games netting 2 or more in 2/5 but failed to win either. At the back, 1/5 clean sheets came last time out conceding 2 or more in 4/5, however under the new manager they look stronger defensively. Most of those stats have come with de Boer in charge who had a rotten record in charge.
Betting Verdict
I will take Over 2.50 goals.
I took Overs in the last Udinese game which ended 0-0, hopefully we see some action on Sunday morning when they host Inter. Udinese when hosting Inter has gone over 2.50 goals in the last 6 meetings with Inter often getting the win (4/6 wins).
Udinese have scored in 5/5 at home and 2 or more in 3/5, Inter are improving at the back but I would be shocked if they keep the hosts out over 90 minutes.
At the other end Inter have scored in 4/5, only failing in Napoli. Udinese shut out Crotone and Bologna in back to back home games but against Torino and Napoli before hand they conceded 2 to both. Inter in the mould of the latter and I see them edging this 1-2.
With both sides decent in front of goal and the overs trends In the head to head I will take overs here.
Udinese vs Inter Milan: Head-to-head stats
Inter were victorious in their last three matches against Udinese, with two of them coming at the Dacia Arena. Udinese has conceded a total of 9 goals during the period, with the heaviest defeat coming by a 4-0 margin in their last home match against Inter.
Moreover, Udinese had managed only 3 wins from their 15 home matches as Inter picked 7 wins and 5 draws during the period.
Udinese vs Inter Milan: Prediction
Judging by the way that both teams went into the Christmas break, this match has the possibility of being an evenly contested battle. However, Inter hold slight physiological advantage over their opponents due to a brilliant way record at Udine. So a high scoring match with at least 3 goals is expected here and Inter Milan could edge the win by a 1 goal margin.
Udinese vs Inter Milan: Bet Tips
Both Teams to Score at (3/4) 1.75
Inter Milan to win at Evens (2.00).
