Inter Milan vs Genoa
2016/17 Italian Serie A.
Date: Sunday, 12 December 2016
Kick-Off: 19:45 UK,
Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milan).
All that suggests that Inter should win this match at Giuseppe Meazza on Sunday’s, especially as they previously defeated at this very stadium Torino, Crotone and Fiorentina in the Italian championship and Southamption and Sparta Prague in the Europa League. Those six points weren’t enough to reach the knockout phase of the competition, which is certainly a failure for such rich team, but on the other hand they can now fully focus on the Italian championship, where they anyway have serious backlog behind teams which occupy positions that lead to Europe.
Inter is still incapable to do anything outside its stadium and for example they were defeated last weekend by even 3-0 in Naples, which was at the same time the first defeat for new coach Pioli in the Serie A. True, the took the team just 20 days ago and in the period he recorded away draw with city rival Inter and home victory over Fiorentina, while in the Europa League he was defeated away by Israel champion Haopel Beer Sheva. Let’s add that for this match against Genoa Pioli cannot count only on injured midfielder Medel and suspended defender Ansaldi.
Probable lineups Inter Milan: Handanovic – D’Ambrosio, Ranocchia, Miranda, Nagatomo – Brozovic, Joao Mario – Candreva, Banega, Perisic – Icardi
Genoa 1893
We have said in the introduction that guests from Genoa play much better at home than away, so they recently even managed to defeat reigning champion Juventus in front of their fans, while before that they took scalp this season otherwise very good Milan. True, there were many draws at home, even four, while at last four away matches they won just one point, which is reason why they couldn’t go higher than current 11th place in the Serie A.
Genoa recently reached the round of 16 of Coppa Italia after elimination of second-division Perugia, while after that they drew away with Chievo 0-0, so we can freely say that the team is in good mood ahead of showdown with favoured Inter. Regarding the team, we believe that coach Juric will after three successful matches change noting in the starting line-up, especially as out of action are only injured forward Pavoletti and suspended defender Orban.
Probable lineups Genoa 1893: Perin – Izzo, Burdisso, Munoz – Lazovic, Rincon, Veloso, Laxalt – Rigoni – Simeone, Ocampos
Inter Milan – Genoa
Since both teams play recently much better at home than away, it is quite logical to play on Inter’s victory in their head-to-head, especially as Inter has even seven points fewer than teams which occupy positions that lead to European competitions.
Pick: Inter wins
Stake: 6/10
Odds: 1.70 at sportingbet (down to 1.65 can be played)
Inter Milan vs Genoa: Head-to-head statistics
Inter have a record of W7-D5-L8 in their past 20 home games against teams ranked below them in the table.
Genoa have won just one out of their last eight meetings with the Nerazzurri at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (across all comps).
The Grifone have a record of W6-D6-L8 in their last 20 away games against teams ranked above them in the table.
Inter have won seven out of their last eight meetings at home against Genoa across all comps.
The Nerazzurri have scored at least two goals in their past three home matches, but they have also conceded at least two goals in their past three matches
Inter Milan vs Genoa: Prediction
Inter may have the better historical record here, but their porous defense is a major source of concern. Clean sheets are few and far between for the Nerazzurri, and as noted she have conceded at least two goals in their past three matches. The only clean sheet they managed at home was against Crotone – and the Squali have spent much of this campaign at the bottom of the table.
Genoa could pose a tricky opponent. After all, they did beat AC Milan, but at the same time, they are much stronger at home than they are on the road.
Inter Milan vs Genoa: Betting tips
Over 2.5 goals at 7/10 (1.70)
Both teams to score – YES at 4/6 (1.67)
Inter – WIN at 4/6 (1.67).
