Palermo vs Lazio
2016/17 Italian Serie A.
Date: Sunday, 27 November 2016
Kick-Off: 11:30 UK,
Venue: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo).
Reason For Palermo vs Lazio Betting Tips
Palermo are currently on the worst run of form of any team in the Italian top flight. They’ve been left cemented in the relegation zone after a run of defeats, and there’s little hope of them finding a way out before the transfer window opens. To make matters worse, they now face Champions League chasing Lazio. Can the hosts boost their survival hopes with a shock win? It looks pretty unlikely.
Lazio have found their drive again this year, they’re going all out for a place in the top tier of European football. While competition for places in the top reaches of Serie A is fierce, the side from the capital have a great chance of landing a top three finish. They have an even better chance of strengthening their push this weekend, especially when you look at the horrific form Palermo are in at their own ground of late.
The 19th placed side are without a point in front of their own fans this season. Unsurprisingly, that’s the worst home record in the division. Ending that run against the side who are currently fourth in the table is a long shot, especially when you compare their run to Lazio’s away record. They’ve got the sixth best away record, and the bookmakers clearly see them adding to that this weekend. The visitors are odds on favourites, so we need to find another market to back on this clash.
Palermo have scored just 0.5 goals per game at home this season, but that only tells part of the story. They are actually improving in front of goal at home, having scored in three straight matches at their own ground. In fact, their scoring record overall is really coming along, they’ve scored in their last seven Serie A clashes. Seeing as they haven’t won in those games, all have obviously seen both teams find the net.
Lazio should give the visitors a few chances, they’ve conceded 1.5 goals per game away on average. They have managed to score 1.83 in return. On their travels this season, two thirds of the Biancocelesti’s matches have seen both teams score. Plus, seven of their last eight league games have ended without a clean sheet for either team. While they’re flying high in the table, they still have work to do with their defence.
Their back four shouldn’t be an issue here, Palermo have conceded at least two in their last six games. Lazio should have enough going forward to outscore the struggling side, but we’re backing them to concede on their way to victory. Lazio to win and both teams to score is priced at 9/4 with bet365, and it looks like fantastic value given their recent results and scoring records.
Palermo vs Lazio: Head-to-head statistics
Palermo have yet to win a single home game this season.
In fact, the Rosanero have lost all six of their home games so far.
Lazio are undefeated in their past eight Serie A games.
Palermo have conceded at least two goals in their past six matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in Palermo’s last six matches
Palermo vs Lazio: Prediction
Ilija Nestorovski has been scoring for Palermo – in fact, he’s netted in the team’s last four games. Unfortunately, it was all in vain as his solitary effort was not enough to prevent the Rosanero from losing all of those matches. To make matters worse, Palermo will be missing a crop of players due to injury. Meanwhile, although Lazio will have to make do without first-choice shot-stopper Federico Marchetti, the Biancocelesti nonetheless should be able to take advantage of their struggling opponents to pick up another three points.
Given that Palermo have managed to score in their past couple of games and Lazio will be fielding their second-choice goalie, the Rosanero may be able to nick a goal, but it will not likely be enough to prevent the Aquile from soaring to victory.
Palermo vs Lazio: Betting tips
Both teams to score – YES at 3/4 (1.75)
Over 2.5 goals at 3/4 (1.75)
Lazio – WIN at 8/13 (1.62).