Reason For Betting Tips
Gremio looked like they could be serious title contenders around the mid-way point in the season but their troubles on the road put paid to that. They’ve taken just 1 point from their last 7 away league matches and have lost all of the last 5. Dropped points in a few recent home games have seen them fall further back and now they face a struggle just to finish in the top half. They come into this game in 9th place following a 1-0 defeat at Cruzeiro at the weekend and may be reliant on what has been a good run in the Copa do Brasil to save their season.
Vitoria looked like they would be involved in a nail-biting relegation battle for the remainder of the campaign but out of nowhere they’ve found some form and picked up some priceless victories to give themselves a bit of breathing space. They put in their best showing of the season on Saturday when they raced into a stunning 4-0 Half-Time lead away at Chapecoense. A couple of goals from Ze Love set- up what was their 3rd win in 4 league games and, as a result, they will head into this game with real momentum.
Victory could see Vitoria move as much as 7 points clear of the bottom four and would see them on to 38 points from 29 games, a position from which relegation is almost inconceivable, although it is likely to take over 40 points to stay afloat this term. With Vitoria’s confidence high following that big win on Saturday and with Gremio’s away form so poor you have to fancy a home win being the most likely outcome here.
Vitoria pretty comfortably dispatched Sao Paulo in their most recent home game 2-0 and would only be 2 points behind Gremio should they win this, so there doesn’t appear to be a huge gulf in quality here. Therefore, backing Vitoria to win at 6/5 looks the most sensible bet and it would condemn Gremio to a 6th consecutive away league defeat.
Head To Head
Vitoria were shock 2-1 winners at Gremio earlier in the season. They’ve also won 4 of their last 6 home games against the Porto Alegre club.
Stats
Gremio have conceded 12 goals in their last 5 away games, scoring just 2. Vitoria have scored twice or more in 6 of their last 8 home matches.
